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Nitrogen Short-Term Flow Adjusted Concentration Trends Measured in Watershed Streams and Rivers

Short-term changes in nitrogen concentrations have been determined for the period 2002-2011 at 48 stream sites in the Chesapeake Bay watershed:

  • Nineteen sites show improving short-term flow-adjusted concentration trends
  • One site shows degrading short-term flow-adjusted concentration trends
  • Twenty-eight sites show trends that are not statistically significant

 

Improving trends in flow-adjusted concentrations indicate improvements in water quality conditions.  Degrading trends may be used to identify watersheds that may require an increased level of pollution control.

To view an interactive version of the map featured below, go to http://cbrim.er.usgs.gov/maps/index.html.

Short-Term Flow-Adjusted Concentration Trends for Nitrogen 2002-2011


Chesapeake Bay watershed 10 year nitrogen flow-adjusted concentration trend 2002 - 2011

Map: Chesapeake Bay watershed 10 year nitrogen flow-adjusted concentration trend 2002 - 2011

Date created: Jan 02 2013 / Download

Over the past 10 years, the majority of nitrogen concentration trends are non-significant (28 sites), with 19 sites showing improving condition and only 1 site showing degrading conditions. The trend results indicate that in many locations, management actions, such as improved wastewater treatment and nonpoint-source pollution controls (i.e. urban stormwater runoff and agricultural runoff controls), have reduced nitrogen concentrations in streams.


Importance

Nitrogen is a type of nutrient contributing to poor water quality in aquatic ecosystems. Elevated nitrogen levels may cause excessive algal growth, blocking out sunlight and reducing oxygen for fish and other underwater life.

Nitrogen concentrations are highly variable, depending on the amount of water flowing in streams and rivers throughout the Bay watershed. Therefore, scientists calculate flow-adjusted trends to determine whether concentrations have changed over time.  By removing the effects of natural variations in streamflow, resource managers can evaluate the changes in stream health that may result from nutrient-reduction actions or other changes within the watershed.

Nitrogen concentrations are monitored near the head of tide (River Input Monitoring Program) in nine of the Bay's major tributaries, and at 39 locations upstream from the River Input sites.

Goal

Stream quality is associated with lower nutrient concentrations and loads; therefore, the goal for short-term flow-adjusted concentration trends is to observe the majority of the sites as having improving trends in flow-adjusted nitrogen concentrations and few sites as degrading.

Short-term trend (2002-2011)

Over the past 10 years, the majority of nitrogen concentration trends are non-significant (28 sites), with 19 sites showing improving condition and only 1 site showing degrading conditions. The trend results indicate that in many locations, management actions, such as improved wastewater treatment and nonpoint-source pollution controls (i.e. urban stormwater runoff and agricultural runoff controls),have reduced nitrogen concentrations in streams.

  • Out of 48 sampling sites, 19 sites show improving trends, 1 site shows degrading trends, and 28 sites show trends that were not statistically significant.
  • Data from the River Input Monitoring Program, which monitors nine tributaries immediately above tidal waters, shows: Improving trends in nitrogen at the Patuxent River, and the remaining RIM stations showed trend results for nitrogen that were not significant.
  • There were fewer sites with significantly improving trends and more sites with no significant change in the 10-year time period (2002-2011) compared to the long-term time period (1985-2011) for flow-adjusted concentration trends.

 

In the map, arrows with different directions (up or down) are portrayed to present this information; no significant change is indicated by a black dot.

Additional Information

The flow-adjusted trends indicator is calculated and published annually by the U.S. Geological Survey as part of a larger effort to determine loads and trends in nutrient and sediment concentrations and streamflow in the Chesapeake Bay watershed. A complete description of data analysis methods can be found in Langland, M. J., and others, Changes in streamflow and water quality in selected nontidal basins in the Chesapeake Bay watershed, 1985-2004: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2006-5178, 75 p.; additionally refer to: Langland, Michael, Blomquist, Joel, Moyer, Douglas, and Hyer, Kenneth, 2012, Nutrient and suspended-sediment trends, loads, and yields and development of an indicator of streamwater quality at nontidal sites in the Chesapeake Bay watershed, 1985–2010: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2012–5093, 26 p.; Even more information related to the methods of data analysis and current results are available at:  http://cbrim.er.usgs.gov/

The Chesapeake Bay Program (CBP), in partnership with USGS and agencies in six states throughout the Chesapeake Bay watershed, monitors streamflow, nutrients and sediment as part of the CBP Nontidal Water Quality Monitoring Network. There are over 120 sites in the network; however, only 48 of these sites have enough of a short-term record to calculate flow-adjusted concentration trends. 

The network includes the River Input Monitoring Program, which monitors streamflow and water quality at nine sites upstream from the head of tide at each of the major river basins draining to the Bay. The River Input sites collectively represent 78 percent of area of the watershed and range in size from the Susquehanna River (27,000 square miles) to the Choptank River (100 square miles).  These nine rivers account for approximately 93 percent of the streamflow entering Chesapeake Bay from the nontidal part of its watershed.  However, many of the largest populated cities within the watershed are located downstream of these monitoring sites in the Coastal Plain region of the watershed.

Results from the CBP Nontidal Water Quality Monitoring Network are being used by resource managers, policy makers and concerned citizens to help evaluate the effectiveness of strategies aimed at reducing nutrients and sediment entering streams and rivers of the Chesapeake Bay watershed and, eventually, the tidal waters of the Bay.

Most of the monitoring is conducted upstream from the head of tide. Thus, the trends do not reflect the effects of management actions that are implemented in the majority of the Coastal Plain areas of the watershed.

There are multiple factors affecting nutrient trends and yields. The major factors include changes in nutrient sources and land use, population increase, implementation of management actions, and the influence of watershed characteristics including the lag time between implementing management actions to decrease nutrient pollution and detecting a water quality improvement.

Contact

Scott Phillips
USGS Chesapeake Bay
(443) 498-5552

Source of Data

US Geological Survey

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