Modeling Workgroup Publications
Examination of Observed Chlorophyll Concentration and Temperature in Chesapeake Bay and Tributaries
Publication date:Cerco, C. F., Robertson, T., Bertani, I., and Tian, R. 2024. Examination of Observed Chlorophyll Concentration and Temperature in Chesapeake Bay and Tributaries.
Large-scale Multi-objective Optimization for Watershed Planning and Assessment
Publication date:G. Toscano-Pulido, H. Razavi, A. P. Nejadhashemi, K. Deb and L. Linker, "Large-Scale Multi-objective Optimization for Watershed Planning and Assessment," in IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, doi: 10.1109/TSMC.2024.3361679.
Simulation of benthic microalgae impacts on water quality in shallow water systems, Corsica River, Chesapeake Bay
Publication date:Tian, R., Cai, X., Cerco, C.F., Zhang, J.Y., and Linker, L.C., 2024. "Simulation of benthic microalgae impacts on water quality in shallow water systems, Corsica River, Chesapeake Bay." Frontiers in Marine Science. Volume 10 - 2023. 10:1295986. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1295986.
Effect of Submerged Aquatic Vegetation on Chesapeake Bay Water Quality
Publication date:Cerco, C. F. and Tian, R. 2023. Effect of Submerged Aquatic Vegetation on Chesapeake Bay Water Quality.
View document [PDF, 3.1 MB] Effect of Submerged Aquatic Vegetation on Chesapeake Bay Water Quality
Sea-Level Rise Impacts on Tidal Marshes and Estuarine Biogeochemical Processes
Publication date:Cai, X., Shen, J., Zhang, Y. J., Qin, Q., & Linker, L. (2023). "Sea-level rise impacts on tidal marshes and estuarine biogeochemical processes." Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 128, e2023JG007450. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JG007450.
The Roles of Tidal Marshes in the Estuarine Biochemical Processes: A Numerical Modeling Study
Publication date:Cai, X., Shen, J., Zhang, Y. J., Qin, Q., & Linker, L. (2023). "The roles of tidal marshes in the estuarine biochemical processes: A numerical modeling study." Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 128, e2022JG007066. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JG...
Featured Collection introduction: Climate change in Chesapeake Bay
Publication date:Cerco, C.F. 2022. "Featured Collection introduction: Climate change in Chesapeake Bay." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 785–789. DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.13087.
View document [PDF, 435.0 KB] Featured Collection introduction: Climate change in Chesapeake Bay
Dedication to James J. Fitzpatrick
Publication date:Cerco, C.F. 2022. "Dedication to James J. Fitzpatrick" Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 790-791. DOI: 10.1111/1752-1688.13088.
View document [PDF, 501.3 KB] Dedication to James J. Fitzpatrick
Simulating climate change in a coastal watershed with an integrated suite of airshed, watershed, and estuary models
Publication date:Linker, L.C., Shenk, G.W., Bhatt, G., Tian, R., Cerco, C.F., and Bertani, I. 2023. “Simulating climate change in a coastal watershed with an integrated suite of airshed, watershed, and estuary models.” JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association 00 (0): 1–30. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.13185.
The Chesapeake Bay Land Change Model: Simulating future land use scenarios and potential impacts on water quality
Publication date:Claggett, P.R., Ahmed, L., Irani, F.M., McDonald, S., Thompson, R.L. 2023. "The Chesapeake Bay Land Change Model: Simulating future land use scenarios and potential impacts on water quality." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 59 (6): 1287–1312. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.13131.
Water quality impacts of climate change, land use, and population growth in the Chesapeake Bay watershed
Publication date:Bhatt, G., Linker, L., Shenk, G., Bertani, I., Tian, R., Rigelman, J., Hinson, K., and Claggett, P. 2023. “Water quality impacts of climate change, land use, and population growth in the Chesapeake Bay watershed.” JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association 59 (6): 1313–1341. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.13144.
Interactions of warming and altered nutrient load timing on the phenology of oxygen dynamics in Chesapeake Bay
Publication date:Basenback, N., Testa, J.M., Shen, C. 2023. "Interactions of warming and altered nutrient load timing on the phenology of oxygen dynamics in Chesapeake Bay." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 59 (2): 429–445. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.13101
Quantifying the Response of Nitrogen Speciation to Hydrology in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed Using a Multilevel Modeling Approach
Publication date:Bertani, I., G. Bhatt, G.W. Shenk, and L.C. Linker. 2022. "Quantifying the Response of Nitrogen Speciation to Hydrology in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed Using a Multilevel Modeling Approach." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 792–804. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1...
Extent and Causes of Chesapeake Bay Warming
Publication date:Hinson, K.E., M.A.M. Friedrichs, P. St-Laurent, F. Da, and R.G. Najjar. 2022. "Extent and Causes of Chesapeake Bay Warming." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 805–825. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1...
View document [PDF, 4.7 MB] Extent and Causes of Chesapeake Bay Warming
Climate Extremes and Variability Surrounding Chesapeake Bay: Past, Present, and Future
Publication date:St. Laurent, K.A., V.J. Coles, and R.R. Hood. 2022. "Climate Extremes and Variability Surrounding Chesapeake Bay: Past, Present, and Future." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 826–854. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1....
Mechanisms Controlling Climate Warming Impact on the Occurrence of Hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay
Publication date:Tian, R., C.F. Cerco, G. Bhatt, L.C. Linker, and G.W. Shenk. 2022. "Mechanisms Controlling Climate Warming Impact on the Occurrence of Hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 855–875. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1....
Modeling Impacts of Nutrient Loading, Warming, and Boundary Exchanges on Hypoxia and Metabolism in a Shallow Estuarine Ecosystem
Publication date:Testa, J.M., N. Basenback, C. Shen, K. Cole, A. Moore, C. Hodgkins, and D.C. Brady. 2022. "Modeling Impacts of Nutrient Loading, Warming, and Boundary Exchanges on Hypoxia and Metabolism in a Shallow Estuarine Ecosystem." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 876–897. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1....
A Numerical Study of Hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay Using an Unstructured Grid Model: Validation and Sensitivity to Bathymetry Representation
Publication date:Cai, X., Y.J. Zhang, J. Shen, H. Wang, Z. Wang, Q. Qin, and F. Ye. 2022. "A Numerical Study of Hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay Using an Unstructured Grid Model: Validation and Sensitivity to Bathymetry Representation." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 898–921. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1...
Impacts of Sea-Level Rise on Hypoxia and Phytoplankton Production in Chesapeake Bay: Model Prediction and Assessment
Publication date:Cai, X., J. Shen, Y.J. Zhang, Q. Qin, Z. Wang, and H. Wang. 2022. "Impacts of Sea-Level Rise on Hypoxia and Phytoplankton Production in Chesapeake Bay: Model Prediction and Assessment." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 922–939. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1....
Nutrient Retention and Release in Eroding Chesapeake Bay Tidal Wetlands
Publication date:Cornwell, J.C., M.S. Owens, and L.W. Staver. 2022. "Nutrient Retention and Release in Eroding Chesapeake Bay Tidal Wetlands." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 940–957. https://doi.org/10.1111/17
View document [PDF, 1.7 MB] Nutrient Retention and Release in Eroding Chesapeake Bay Tidal Wetlands
Impact of Wetlands Loss and Migration, Induced by Climate Change, on Chesapeake Bay DO Standards
Publication date:Cerco, C.F., and R. Tian. 2022. "Impact of Wetlands Loss and Migration, Induced by Climate Change, on Chesapeake Bay DO Standards." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 58 (6): 958–970. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1....
Technical Advisory Committee on Simulating Living Resources in the Long Island Sound Integrated Model - Final Report
Publication date:In 2020, New York City Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) initiated a project to develop an updated comprehensive hydrodynamic and water quality model for Long Island (LIS). The DEP Long Island Sound Hydrodynamic and Water Quality Modeling Support project (LIS-HWQMS) includes the development of updated hydrodynamic and water quality models (HWQMS) of LI Sound. The LIS-HWQMS provides the physical and biogeochemical components of the overall Integrated Model Framework (IMF) to ensure that physical, biogeochemical, and living resource sub-models provide science-based representations of how these sub-models drive circulation and mixing, biogeochemical interactions that control dissolved oxygen (especially the onset and persistence of hypoxia), nutrient cycling, eutrophication, water clarity, ecological processes and living resources in estuarine and coastal waters.
Simulation of high-frequency dissolved oxygen dynamics in a shallow estuary, the Corsica River, Chesapeake Bay
Publication date:Tian R, Cai X, Testa JM, Brady DC, Cerco CF and Linker LC (2022) Simulation of high-frequency dissolved oxygen dynamics in a shallow estuary, the Corsica River, Chesapeake Bay. Front. Mar. Sci. 9:1058839. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2022.1058839
Nutrient limitation of phytoplankton in three tributaries of Chesapeake Bay: Detecting responses following nutrient reductions
Publication date:Zhang, Q., Fisher, T.R., Buchanan, C., Gustafson, A.B., Karrh, R.R., Murphy, R.R., Testa, J.M., Tian, R., Tango, P.J. Nutrient limitation of phytoplankton in three tributaries of Chesapeake Bay: Detecting responses following nutrient reductions. Water Research, Volume 226, 2022, 119099, ISSN 0043-1354, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watr....
Using Forward and Backward Particle Tracking Approaches to Analyze Impacts of a Water Intake on Ichthyoplankton Mortality in the Appomattox River
Publication date:Qin, Q., Shen, J., Tuckey, T.D., Cai, X., Xiong, J. Using Forward and Backward Particle Tracking Approaches to Analyze Impacts of a Water Intake on Ichthyoplankton Mortality in the Appomattox River. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering. 2022; 10(9):1299. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse10...
Impact of Wetlands Loss and Migration, Induced by Climate Change, on Chesapeake Bay DO Standards
Publication date:Cerco, C.F., and R. Tian. 2021. "Impact of Wetlands Loss and Migration, Induced by Climate Change, on Chesapeake Bay DO Standards." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1....
Atmospheric nitrogen deposition in the Chesapeake Bay watershed: A history of change
Publication date:Douglas A. Burns, Gopal Bhatt, Lewis C. Linker, Jesse O. Bash, Paul D. Capel, Gary W. Shenk, Atmospheric nitrogen deposition in the Chesapeake Bay watershed: A history of change, Atmospheric Environment, Volume 251, 2021, 118277, ISSN 1352-2310, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2021.118277.
Mechanisms Controlling Climate Warming Impact on the Occurrence of Hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay
Publication date:Tian, R., C.F. Cerco, G. Bhatt, L.C. Linker, and G.W. Shenk. 2021. "Mechanisms Controlling Climate Warming Impact on the Occurrence of Hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay." Journal of the American Water Resources Association 1–21. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1.... 12907.
Nutrient limitation of phytoplankton in Chesapeake Bay: Development of an empirical approach for water-quality management
Publication date:Link to the document.
Factors Controlling Hypoxia Occurrence in Estuaries, Chester River, Chesapeake Bay
Publication date:Tian R. Factors Controlling Hypoxia Occurrence in Estuaries, Chester River, Chesapeake Bay. Water. 2020; 12(7):1961. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12071....
Projections of Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition to the Chesapeake Bay Watershed
Publication date:Campbell, P. C., Bash, J. O., Nolte, C. G., Spero, T. L., Cooter, E. J., Hinson, K., & Linker, L. C. (2019). Projections of Atmospheric Nitrogen Deposition to the Chesapeake Bay Watershed. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 124. https://doi.org/ 10.1029/2019JG005203.
Impacts of sea level rise on hypoxia in the Chesapeake Bay: A model intercomparison
Publication date:St-Laurent, P., M.A.M. Friedrichs, M. Li and W. Ni, 2019. Impacts of sea level rise on hypoxia in the Chesapeake Bay: A model intercomparison. Report to the Chesapeake Bay Program, Annapolis, MD, 34 pp.
Factors controlling saltwater intrusion across multi-time scales in estuaries, Chester River, and Chesapeake Bay
Publication date:Tian, R. Factors controlling saltwater intrusion across multi-time scales in estuaries, Chester River, Chesapeake Bay. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science. Volume 223, 2019, Pages 61-73, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss....
Chesapeake Bay's water quality condition has been recovering: Insights from a multimetric indicator assessment of thirty years of tidal monitoring data
Publication date:Link to the document.
Understanding Chesapeake Bay Modeling Tools
Publication date:This backgrounder provides an overview of updates, governance, policy and procedures for the Chesapeake Bay Program's suite of computer modeling tools.
View document [PDF, 293.9 KB] Understanding Chesapeake Bay Modeling Tools
Assessing Water Quality of the Chesapeake Bay by the Impact of Sea Level Rise and Warming
Publication date:P. Wang, L. Linker, H. Wang, G. Bhatt, G. Yactayo, K. Hinson and R. Tian, "Assessing water quality of the Chesapeake Bay by the impact of sea level rise and warming." 2017 IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci. 82 012001 https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/82/1/012001.
Influence of Wind Strength and Duration on Relative Hypoxia Reductions, Wang P et al 2016
Publication date:Wang P, Wang H, Linker L, Hinson K. Influence of Wind Strength and Duration on Relative Hypoxia Reductions by Opposite Wind Directions in an Estuary with an Asymmetric Channel. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering. 2016; 4(3):62. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse4030062
Geographically Isolated Loading Scenarios to Analyze N and P Exchanges and Explore Nutrient Controls
Publication date: Not listedWang, P., Linker, L.C. & Shenk, G.W. Using Geographically Isolated Loading Scenarios to Analyze Nitrogen and Phosphorus Exchanges and Explore Tailored Nutrient Control Strategies for Efficient Management. Environ Model Assess 21, 437–454 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10666-015-9487-x.
Erratum to: Relative Importance of Nutrient Load and Wind on Regulating Interannual Summer Hypoxia
Publication date:Wang, P., Wang, H. & Linker, L. Relative Importance of Nutrient Load and Wind on Regulating Interannual Summer Hypoxia in the Chesapeake Bay. Estuaries and Coasts 38, 1048–1061 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-014-9867-5
Relative Importance of Nutrient Load and Wind on Regulating Interannual Summer Hypoxia in the CB
Publication date:Wang, P., Wang, H. & Linker, L. Relative Importance of Nutrient Load and Wind on Regulating Interannual Summer Hypoxia in the Chesapeake Bay. Estuaries and Coasts 38, 1048–1061 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-014-9867-5
Influence of Reservoir Infill on Coastal Deep Water Hypoxia, 2016, Linker et al
Publication date:Linker, L.C., Batiuk, R.A., Cerco, C.F., Shenk, G.W., Tian, R., Wang, P. and Yactayo, G. (2016), Influence of Reservoir Infill on Coastal Deep Water Hypoxia. J. Environ. Qual., 45: 887-893. https://doi.org/10.2134/jeq2014.11.0461
Conowingo Reservoir Sedimentation and Chesapeake Bay: State of the Science, 2016, Cerco
Publication date:Cerco, C.F. (2016), Conowingo Reservoir Sedimentation and Chesapeake Bay: State of the Science. J. Environ. Qual., 45: 882-886. https://doi.org/10.2134/jeq2015.05.0230
Impact of Reservoir Sediment Scour on Water Quality in a Downstream Estuary, 2015, Cerco and Noel
Publication date:Cerco, C.F. and Noel, M.R. (2016), Impact of Reservoir Sediment Scour on Water Quality in a Downstream Estuary. J. Environ. Qual., 45: 894-905. https://doi.org/10.2134/jeq2014.10.0425
Calculation of Oyster Benefits with a Bioenergetics Model of the Virginia Oyster - April Draft
Publication date:A bioenergetics model is formulated and validated for the Virginia oyster (Crassostrea virginica). The model considers two basic properties of a bivalve population: number of individuals and individual size. Individuals are represented as three energy stores: soft tissue, shell, and reproductive material. The bioenergetics model is coupled to an oyster benefits module. Calculated benefits include various aspects of carbon removal, nitrogen removal, phosphorus removal, solids removal, and shell production. Benefits are calculated for natural mortality and for fisheries harvest. The calculation of benefits is based on mass-balance principles and upon user-supplied values for parameters including resuspension, sediment diagenesis, and dentrification rate. The bioenergetics model is coupled with a representation of the physical environment based on the tidal prism approach and with eutrophication kinetics from the CE-QUAL-ICM model.
Total Maximum Daily Load Criteria Assessment Using Monitoring and Modeling Data
Publication date:Keisman, Jeni and Gary Shenk, 2013. Total Maximum Daily Load Criteria Assessment Using Monitoring and Modeling Data. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 1-16. DOI: 10.1111/jawr.12111
21 Year Simulation of Chesapeake Bay Water Quality Using the CE-QUAL-ICM Eutrophication Mode
Publication date:Cerco, Carl F. and Mark R. Noel, 2013. Twenty-One-Year Simulation of Chesapeake Bay Water Quality Using the CE-QUAL-ICM Eutrophication Model. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 1-15. DOI: 10.1111/jawr.12107
Monitored and Modeled Correlations of Sediment and Nutrients with Chesapeake Bay Water Clarity
Publication date:Wang, Ping, Lewis C. Linker, and Richard A. Batiuk, 2013. Monitored and Modeled Correlations of Sediment and Nutrients with Chesapeake Bay Water Clarity. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 1-16. DOI: 10.1111/jawr.12104
The Shallow-Water Component of the Chesapeake Bay Environmental Model Package
Publication date:Cerco, Carl F., Mark R. Noel, and Ping Wang, 2013. The Shallow-Water Component of the Chesapeake Bay Environmental Model Package. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 1-12. DOI: 10.1111/jawr.12106
Evaluation: Three-Dimensional Hydrodynamic Model Through Long-Term Simulation of Transport Processes
Publication date:Kim, Sung-Chan, 2013. Evaluation of a Three-Dimensional Hydrodynamic Model Applied to Chesapeake Bay Through Long-Term Simulation of Transport Processes. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 1-13. DOI: 10.1111/jawr.12113
Estimating the Extent of Impervious Surfaces and Turf Grass Across Large Regions
Publication date:Claggett, Peter R., Frederick M. Irani, and Renee L. Thompson, 2013. Estimating the Extent of Impervious Surfaces and Turf Grass Across Large Regions. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 1-21. DOI: 10.1111/jawr.12110